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Catamarca · Three puna corridors · outbound freight, customs and hazardous goods
A resolution from January 2026 created a mandatory service that nobody provides from within the provincethesis

High-altitude logistics, hazardous goods and outbound freight across Catamarca's three corridors

Estimated entry range for a supplier
USD 0.8-2.5 M/yr
Estimated market: USD 11-27 M/yr
up to date · reviewed Oct 28, 2026
estim Aug 30, 2026midpoint ~USD 18 M/yrurgent demandour reading
At a glance
Who buys
The operator, on a multi-year contract tied to the lithium sales contract unconf
the 3 doors →
In which projects
Agua Rica / MARA, Fénix, Hombre Muerto Oeste and 1 more
what each one invests →
When
The protocol requiring an outsourced escort, a separate convoy and daylight-only travel has been in force since January 27, 2026: that demand already exists. The clearance one does not: it awaits the provincial Senate's vote on the Tinogasta Free Zone law. thesis
what to watch and where it stands →
The main barrier
The truck is the easy part. What leaves you out is the paperwork and the protocol: since January 27, 2026 there has to be one escort vehicle for every one to three trucks, and it has to be outsourced: the operator itself cannot provide it. verif in force since 2026 ↗
the whole entry map →
Where you get in
The gap has four layers and only one is about trucks: the hazardous-goods permit and the escort, two or three units for a puna corridor, the customs clearance that as of 28-10-2026 is invoiced outside the province, and the bonded warehouse the province does not have.
the 4 routes →

Catamarca's lithium does not leave by one road: it leaves by three —Paso de Sico towards the Chilean ports, the run down to Buenos Aires and Paso San Francisco towards Puerto Caldera—, and since January 27, 2026 it leaves under tougher rules: with an outsourced escort, in daylight and without mixing cargo. The escort was already mandatory since 2021; what is new is that a third party has to provide it. The resolution in force today requires one escort vehicle for every one to three trucks, demands that the escort be outsourced, bans night travel and orders minerals and chemicals to travel in a convoy separate from any other product. That is some 76 thousand tonnes a year becoming 109 thousand once capacity already committed by resolution comes online, moving under more restrictions than ever. And the requirement is already being enforced: on March 25, 2026 a truck spilled brine near the Chaschuil river, the fine was $254.1 million for speeding, lack of spill-prevention measures, deficient training and problems characterizing the substances transported, and according to neighbors it was the third in seven months.

The flow already exists and grows through acts of State already published: the 2nd stage of Tres Quebradas has had a RIGI resolution since July 29, 2026 and approves a 40 ktpa plant (the act does not mention the 20 one already operating nor say whether they add up), and Fénix goes from 28,500 to 38,000 tonnes a year with its Phase 1B.

See the clocks that are running, one by one
On top of that, two builds run to 2029 bringing steel, cement and equipment. The window that does close is a different one: the Tinogasta Free Zone is being set up, and whoever arrives before it operates defines how clearance is done from Catamarca.

verif primary sourceestim our own calculationthesis our readingHow to read all five →

What the market is made of

TAM is activity, not what you will invoice. Most of the money is in the paved trunk —the long haul to the Chilean port or to Buenos Aires— and that leg is won on cost per kilometer: national fleets run it and a provincial entrant does not contest it. Your real gap is the puna leg and the paperwork: the gravel of the three corridors, hazardous-substances authorization, and clearance, which today is partly billed in another province.

How it splits, and against which total
Midpoint of the captive/addressable split (~55% captive) over the midpoint TAM, ~USD 18 M/yr. Own estimate. estim
CaptiveUSD 10 M · 51%
Addressable (SAM)USD 8 M · 41%
Realistic wedge for an entrantUSD 1.6 M · 8%
CaptiveUSD 10 M51%non-addressable
the paved long-haul trunk, won on cost per kilometer and run by national-scale fleets + product freight contracts, which we assume are long-term and tied to the lithium sales contract, not per trip
Addressable (SAM)USD 8 M41%addressable
the puna leg across the three corridors + customs clearance + the traceability, hazardous-substances certification and spill-response package
Realistic wedge for an entrantUSD 1.6 M8%addressable
hazardous-goods certification plus two or three units for a single corridor, or the clearance and traceability service with no fleet of its own: the cheapest door is paperwork, not the truck
Non-addressable

USD 6-15 M/yr (~55 % of TAM): the paved long-haul trunk, won on cost per kilometer and run by national fleets, plus product freight contracts, which would be signed long-term, tied to the lithium sales contract, and not tendered per trip unconf.

Addressable share

USD 5-12 M/yr (~45% of TAM): the puna leg across the three corridors, customs clearance and the traceability, certification and spill-response package for hazardous goods. It is where knowing the road is worth more than scale.

Entry range for a supplier

USD 0.8-2.5 M/yr for a well-prepared entrant: hazardous-substances certification plus two or three units for one corridor, or the clearance and traceability service with no fleet of its own. The cheapest door is paperwork, not the truck.

▸ Trunk distances are an own assumption and diesel to site stays out of the number. Both limits are stated here, not concealed. And the count of chamber members is from 2023 and cannot be refreshed: its site does not resolve.

Who really pays?

The door changes with the leg, and whoever pays for the gravel is not the one who pays for the asphalt. There are three:

If you sellFreight of finished product to the port or to Buenos Aires
→
The operator, on a multi-year contract tied to the lithium sales contract unconf unconf

It is not a spot market: large volume is committed together with the sales contract unconf. Entry windows are few and predictable: when an operation starts, when it expands, or when the incumbent fails thesis.

If you sellConstruction inbound freight: steel, cement, process equipment
→
The main contractor of each build, by purchase order unconf verif Jul 29, 2026 ↗

There are two construction fronts with investment deadlines to 2029 and 2027 —the Hombre Muerto Oeste expansion and the 2nd stage of Tres Quebradas— verif verif and between them they bring in on the order of 35 thousand tonnes a year estim. It is contracted per trip, not long-term unconf, and that is why it is the most accessible entry door thesis.

If you sellClearance, traceability and spill response
→
The operator and its transport contractor, as a retainer thesis verif Sep 14, 2026 ↗

It is the layer where the bonded warehouse cannot be provided from within the province: out of the 175 bonded warehouses authorized nationwide, Catamarca has zero verif. And it is the layer the regulator has already started charging for: a $254.1 million fine for speeding, lack of spill-prevention measures and training failures in a single incident prob.

▸
All three doors share the same gatekeeper: the provincial supplier registry and authorization to move hazardous substances. The second is what today separates those who bid from those who do not.

Which projects move this demand

Tres Quebradas stage 2: plant and infrastructure for 40,000 t/year of lithium carbonate via direct extraction (DLE)…

see the project →

Lithium brine project in the Salar del Hombre Muerto (western zone), to produce 12,000 t/yr of lithium carbonate equivalent…

see the project →
USD 251 M Apr 6, 2026 ↗

Expansion (Phase 1B) of the historic Fénix lithium-carbonate project in the Salar del Hombre Muerto, operated by Rio Tinto via Minera del Altiplano…

see the project →
USD 6,394 M Oct 27, 2026 ↗

Catamarca's largest copper project and the largest capital investment in the province. MARA integrates the Agua Rica deposit (Andalgalá)…

see the project →

When the window opens

The volume leaving Catamarca rises through acts of state, and how it moves is set by a provincial resolution. That same resolution sets a calendar that comes back every year: from 1 May to 30 September —or earlier, if conditions in the area warrant it— a winter procedure applies, so the useful trucking window is the other seven months. These five numbers are the ones that give notice.

What to watchWhat changes when it happensStatus
Approval of the Free Zone by the Catamarca legislature
It is the only thing that can move the highest-margin, lowest-capital link in the chain —clearance and cargo consolidation— from Salta into Catamarca.
agreement with the national government signed and announced on September 3, 2026, under Ley 24.331, for a mixed free zone.
See the evidence
It takes effect once the provincial legislature approves it: the Senate gave it first-round approval and on October 14, 2026 the Chamber of Deputies approved it unanimously with changes, so it goes back to the Senate prob provincial press. ⚠️ The approved text sets the Tinogasta department as its scope and leaves the exact location undefined
prob Oct 14, 2026 ↗
Bonded warehouses authorised in the Catamarca customs district
While it stays at zero, the value of clearance is invoiced in another province. It is the indicator that turns the Free Zone from announcement into fact, and it is published: it can be recounted every time.
zero, out of 175 bonded warehouses authorized nationwide, counted on October 28, 2026 against the official list.
See the evidence
The Salta customs district has two —COZOFRA and COCEL— and Tucumán has two
verif Oct 28, 2026 ↗
Mining's share of what the province exports
It is the volume being invoiced, and it rises through acts of state rather than through the cycle: every RIGI resolution that authorises an expansion adds tonnes with a date.
93.9 % of provincial exports in January-September 2026, the highest share of the five mining provinces.
See the evidence
in September alone it was 82.2 %, behind Jujuy (89.0 %) and Santa Cruz (87.1 %). The report is monthly
verif Sep 2026 ↗
The open construction fronts bringing in supplies
Construction haulage is the accessible door —we assume it is contracted per trip and not long-term, although that is not confirmed— and it switches off when the job closes.
two live until 2029: Hombre Muerto Oeste, with a minimum-investment deadline of Dec 31, 2029, and the 2nd stage of Tres Quebradas, with a minimum-investment deadline of Nov 30, 2027, construction from Jun 1, 2026 and operation from Apr 1, 2029.
See the evidence
Fénix's Phase 1B already produced in the second quarter of 2026 verif Rio Tinto quarterly report and Sal de Vida is in commissioning
verif Jul 29, 2026 ↗
Sanctions from the mining authority over transport
It is the direct measure of whether the requirement is being charged for. Every published fine widens the willingness to pay for the compliance package.
$254.1 million against Zijin-Liex over the March 25, 2026 incident, according to neighbors the third spill in seven months.
See the evidence
⚠️ There is no series: sanctions become known through the press. The Registry of Mining Offenders has existed since 2013 as an internal database of the Dirección Provincial de Minería prob Disposición 128/2013; we found no sign that it publishes its roll unconf
prob Mar 25, 2026 ↗
What signals the game has changed
The pass closes and the road is cut (permanent — this trade's own killer)

Paso San Francisco is open 09:00 to 18:00 with barriers closing at 16:30 unconf, and in July 2026 the storm shut it with winds above 170 km/h and left RP 43 impassable prob press.

See the evidence
A high-altitude freight contract is signed against that: the penalty for non-delivery is not paid by the weather, it is paid by the carrier.
A spill is charged in fines, in license and in social license

On March 25, 2026 a Zijin-Liex truck spilled brine near the Chaschuil river. The Ministry of Mining's fine was $254.1 million, for speeding, lack of spill-prevention measures, deficient training and problems characterizing the substances transported — and according to neighbors it was the third in seven months.

See the evidence
In a line like this, whoever cannot evidence a protocol does not get to bid.
The trunk is won on cost per kilometer, and there scale rules

Most of the money is in the long haul to the port or to Buenos Aires, and that leg is run by national fleets. A provincial entrant who sizes the business on total freight builds a plan it cannot execute: its market is the puna leg and the paperwork, not the cheap kilometer.

Product freight is contracted long-term, tied to the sales contract

It is not a spot market: large volume is committed together with the lithium sales contract unconf. That is why entry windows are few and predictable: when an operation starts, when it expands, or when the incumbent fails thesis.

See the remaining 2 risks
With no fiscal depot in the province, clearance is billed elsewhere

Catamarca's customs office has no authorized fiscal depot verif official list of fiscal depots.

See the evidence
The Tinogasta Free Zone has had an agreement with the national government since September 2026, its law went back to the provincial Senate on 14-Oct-2026 and it does not yet operate prob provincial press. Until it exists, part of the export clearance would be done in Salta and not here thesis.
Diesel has neither a public price nor a public volume

Fuel freight to site exists and belongs to this niche, but no Catamarca operation publishes its consumption. It is not inside the number: anyone entering that way has to measure it by quoting.

The opportunity in depth

How to get inthe gap and the routes that open it
1

The cheapest door needs no fleet: hazardous-substances authorisation, the traceability service and —since January 2026— the escort the rule orders to be outsourced. Three spills in seven months according to neighbors and a $254.1 million fine for speeding, lack of training and protocol failures say the requirement exists and that the regulator has already charged for it.

2

The next step: two or three units for a single puna corridor. You do not compete against the national fleet on the long haul; you compete on the gravel, where scale loses its edge and knowing the road and the weather is worth more.

3

The layer billed elsewhere today: customs clearance. Between January and September 2026 mining accounted for 93.9 % of what the province exports —the highest share of the five mining provinces— and the product crosses into Chile, but the paperwork is done from another customs district.

4

And the one that simply does not exist: the bonded warehouse, the shed authorized by Customs where goods wait under customs control. Eramine consolidated its carbonate at COCEL, in Salta prob. Out of the 175 bonded warehouses authorized nationwide, Catamarca has zero; the Salta customs district has two and Tucumán another two, so which one is «the closest» depends on the corridor. What can change that has a name and a procedure: the Free Zone in the Tinogasta department, with the national agreement signed and the law awaiting final passage by the provincial Senate, after the Chamber of Deputies approved it with changes on October 14, 2026.

What you needcapital, certification, tax regime and who pays
Members in transport and in foreign trade listed by the provincial chamber
4 and 1, out of 123 memberships — it is a chamber's 2023 category map, and it says how many signed up to it, not how many firms operate in the province
Mandatory escort, and who may provide it
one for every one to three trucks since 27-Jan-2026 —a single truck already triggers it— and outsourced by rule: the operator cannot provide it itself. The same resolution lowers the maximum weights per truck
Tonnes of product leaving each year
~76 thousand today · ~109 thousand committed
Own bonded warehouses
zero, out of 175 authorised nationwide
▸ You tell us where to see what your company does and we tell you whether we see a sign that it fits this opportunity, with the evidence behind it. See if my company fits this opportunity →
When you get paid, and what blocks it
IT PAYS TODAY and grows on its own. Some 76 thousand tonnes of product leave each year across three different corridors, and the figure goes to ~109 thousand once capacity already committed by act of State comes online: the 2nd stage of Tres Quebradas approves a 40 ktpa plant, which the calculation takes as the total because the act does not clarify whether it is added to the 20 one, and Fénix goes from 28,500 to 38,000 tonnes a year with its Phase 1B verif. On top of that, two builds run to 2029 bringing steel, cement and equipment. Commercial model: multi-year per-tonne or per-trip contract for product, purchase order per trip for construction unconf, retainer for clearance and traceability. First-tier payers. The bottleneck to getting paid is not demand: it is authorization to move hazardous substances and the buyer's approval.
Who you compete againstwho is already there and what share they take
Who is
already in
Market
split
National mining freight fleetsmost of the trunk haul

The paved trunk —from the puna to the Chilean port or to Buenos Aires— is run by long-distance fleets with national scale. It is the largest block of spending and the hardest to contest from within the province: it is won on cost per kilometer, and there scale rules.

The 4 transport members of the provincial chamberthe puna leg, and they are not enough

CAPPROMIN's category map counts 19 categories and exactly 123 memberships: transport has four members and foreign trade one. That is thin for three different corridors and for an outbound flow going from ~76 thousand to ~109 thousand tonnes a year once committed capacity comes online.

The operator's own provisionvaries by project

Product freight is settled with multi-year contracts tied to the lithium sales contract, not with spot quotes unconf: it is a market committed once and for several years. That closes the door on large volume and leaves open the peak, the contingency and the leg the big fleet does not want to run.

A Salta fiscal depot as an out-of-province alternativecaptures the clearance Catamarca cannot provide

Eramine consolidated 100 big bags of carbonate into containers at a Salta fiscal depot operating as a logistics hub prob verif. Catamarca has no equivalent — hence the push for a Free Zone in Tinogasta, with an agreement with the national government since September 2026 and its law still before the Legislature. Until it exists, the value of clearance is billed in another province.

The jobs it createsIt is the line that carries the effect of the salar's own mining furthest, because the truck passes through the towns thesis: Belén concentrates 13.8 % of the province's registered mining employment, Santa María 12.6 % and Andalgalá 10.3 % prob, and all three sit on the corridors. La lectura completa para el que busca trabajo, en la hoja de este nicho para la gente →

How we
calculate it

The number is our own estimate. The calculation, step by step, is below.

The full calculation, step by step
Bottom-up in TONNES and tonne-kilometers (physical units × tariff), not a percentage of capex. Canonical window 2026-2029 (~3.5 years), which comes from the legal deadlines of the Catamarca RIGI acts and not from an editorial choice: the latest is Dec 31, 2029 for Hombre Muerto Oeste, and Agua Rica's is Dec 31, 2028.⛔ THE BOUNDARY FIRST, BECAUSE IT IS THE EASIEST THING TO BREAK. The reagents niche already counts the INBOUND last mile of reagent —some 180 kt/yr at USD 30-65/t, the USD 7-30 M/yr block of its number— and it also makes the cross-check that bridges to this one: *«180 kt / 28 t per trailer = ~6,400 trips/yr = ~18 inbound trucks per day, against the ~40 trucks per day Fénix moves today of inputs AND product»*. This niche counts the other ~22 trucks a day: outbound product, construction inbound freight that is not reagent, and the clearance and traceability of hazardous cargo. It counts not one kilo of inbound reagent.Step 0 — the two tariffs, declared. (1) Puna leg, USD 30-65/t, midpoint ~USD 40/t: it is the same last-mile tariff the reagents page publishes, applied to the reverse leg — same roads, same trucks and same gravel, the other way. (2) Paved long-haul trunk, 0.07-0.12 USD/t-km [supuesto propio]. The asphalt-to-gravel step that justifies the gap between the two is measured only once in public: CAPEMISA declared USD 3,000 per trailer on gravel against USD 1,800 on the same paved pair (×1.67). ⚠️ That measurement is from Salta, from 2023, and comes from an interested party lobbying for paving: it is used as a range, never as a point coefficient.Step 0-bis — the tonnage that leaves, and a conversion that has to be made. Catamarca carbonate base: Fénix 28.5 → 38 ktpa verif Resolución 431/2026 + Sal de Vida 15 ktpa + Tres Quebradas 20 → 40 ktpa (the second-stage act approves a 40 ktpa plant and does not clarify whether it is added to the 20; the calculation takes 40 in total, which is the floor). Hombre Muerto Oeste does not produce carbonate: it produces chloride concentrate at 6 % lithium, so its 4 ktpa of lithium equivalent are not 4 kt of truck. The conversion, shown: 4,000 t of equivalent × 18.8 % lithium in carbonate = 752 t of lithium; at 6 % lithium in the concentrate = ~12,500 physical tonnes a year estim own calculation. It is the niche's tonnage finding: chloride moves more than three times the truck per unit of lithium than carbonate does. Total leaving: ~76 kt/yr today · ~109 kt/yr at committed capacity.(A) OUTBOUND PRODUCT FREIGHT. It leaves by three different corridors, not one: 60 % of Fénix's product goes to Chilean ports (Antofagasta and Mejillones) via RP 43 → RP 17 → RN 51 → Paso de Sico, 40 % goes to Buenos Aires via RP 43 → RN 40 → RN 38, and Tres Quebradas leaves via RN 60 → Paso San Francisco to Puerto Caldera, some 555 km away —the 200 km usually cited are from Fiambalá to the PASS, not to the port: the Chamber of Deputies' Proyecto de Declaración 1735-D-2024 breaks them down into 200 km to the pass plus 280 from the pass to Copiapó, and our own routing gives 556 km for the same pair—. Puna leg: 76-109 kt × USD 30-65/t = USD 2.3-7.1 M/yr. Trunk: some 53-68 M tonne-kilometers × 0.07-0.12 USD/t-km = USD 3.7-8.2 M/yr [THE DISTANCES WERE MEASURED on 2026-08-30 and are no longer a blind assumption: ~400-450 km of trunk haul to a Chilean port and ~1,400-1,450 km to Buenos Aires, beyond the puna leg. Method, so it can be redone: total door-to-door distance by two independent routes —our own routing over the OpenStreetMap road network (744 km from the salar to the port of Antofagasta, 783 to Mejillones, 1,771 to Buenos Aires) and the Argentine road-route calculator (1,639 km from the town of Antofagasta de la Sierra to Buenos Aires, plus the 82 km of RP 43 up to the salar)— minus the puna leg, which this same figure charges separately; the Chilean leg alone of the Sico corridor is 451 km from the pass to Antofagasta. What the measurement pins down: the trunk to Buenos Aires is ~1,400-1,450 km and the trunk to a Chilean port ~425 km, and the published tonne-km fall inside the band]. Subtotal A: USD 6.0-15.3 M/yr.(B) CONSTRUCTION INBOUND FREIGHT that is not reagent. Accounting unit inherited from the UIA+CAEM+BID survey: per model evaporitic lithium project of 20,000 t a year, 35,000 m³ of concrete + 8,000 t of structural steel prob UIA-CAEM-BID study, model project table. The same study gives lower figures for that stage in its text, some 21,500 m³ of concrete on average and some 3,500 t of steel prob UIA-CAEM-BID study, and the 2nd stage of Tres Quebradas is direct extraction, not evaporitic verif Resolución 1153/2026: the calculation uses the ceiling of the table estim. From that, per project: steel 8,000 t + cement 12,250 t (350 kg/m³) + rest of works 30,000-51,000 t (process equipment, tanks, piping, valves). Aggregates fall outside the trunk: they come from a local quarry ~40 km away. Live builds in the window: TWO, Hombre Muerto Oeste and the 2nd stage of Tres Quebradas — Fénix's Phase 1B already produced in the second quarter of 2026 and Sal de Vida is in commissioning. 2 × ~60,750 t / 3.5 years = ~34,700 t/yr. Puna leg USD 30-65/t = USD 1.0-2.3 M + trunk ~1,200 km × 0.07-0.12 = USD 2.9-5.0 M. Subtotal B: USD 3.9-7.3 M/yr.(C) CUSTOMS CLEARANCE AND HAZARDOUS-CARGO TRACEABILITY. Clearance and forwarding on the product crossing into Chile (~45-66 kt/yr) at USD 8-18/t [supuesto propio] = USD 0.4-1.2 M/yr. Traceability, hazardous-substance transport certification and spill response, as an 8-15 % premium over freight [supuesto propio] = USD 0.8-3.4 M/yr. Subtotal C: USD 1.2-4.6 M/yr. The premium is not theoretical: on Mar 25, 2026 a Zijin-Liex truck spilled brine near the Chaschuil river, the Ministry of Mining fined $254.1 million for speeding, lack of spill-prevention measures, deficient training and problems characterizing the substances transported, and according to neighbors it was the third in seven months.TOTAL: USD 11-27 M/yr, midpoint ~USD 18 M/yr.🔴 DECLARED AND UNFILLED GAP: diesel fuel. The four operations move fuel to site and Hombre Muerto Oeste generates power with diesel engines by permit, but no consumption is published per operation in Catamarca. That freight exists, belongs to this niche and is not in the number: the TAM is a floor on that side, and we say so rather than estimate it.What is NOT included (no double counting):(1) all inbound reagent, already counted by the reagents niche with its own last-mile block — it is the main boundary and it is declared on both sides.(2) Sal de Oro / POSCO, reported as a Salta project.(3) Personnel transport and Fénix's ~4 daily rotation flights, which are a different object.(4) Local quarry aggregates, which the earthworks niche already counts within its borrow item.(5) MARA / Agua Rica freight: Resolución 1854/2026 sets the works from Nov 1, 2027 and operation from Oct 1, 2031 verif Resolución 1854/2026, and its concentrate leaves by mineral pipeline to Tucumán and by rail to Rosario verif official announcement. Agua Rica stays out of this entry's market figures: the resolution sets dates estimated by the company and Glencore has not published the final construction decision thesis.

Concentration Spending splits into two legs with different owners and opposite structures. The trunk —from the puna to the port or to Buenos Aires— belongs to national fleets, is won on cost per kilometer and is most of the money. The puna leg is gravel, altitude and weather: there national scale loses its edge and the operator who knows the road, holds the hazardous-substances certification and can respond when the pass closes comes into play. The province has four transport members and one foreign-trade member in its chamber. Concentration on the buy side is strong: four operations decide everything, and product freight is contracted long-term, tied to the sales contract, not by loose quotation unconf.

The rule that moves it

Here the framework does not create the demand —the product has to leave anyway— but it decides who may move it and where it is cleared from:

See the underlying reading

The underlying policy that opens up this demand. It is the same inference declared by the rules and the program pillars pushing in this direction.

the RIGI promise is kept
enables
Re.P.E.M.: Catamarca's mining local-content rule is a resolution, not a law
See the rule →
The provincial supplier registry is the door: being registered makes your invoice count towards the minimum of 70 % of contracting with registered suppliers that Resolución 498/2014 requires of mining companies.
See the full legal grounds
In logistics the Catamarca payroll requirement is easy to meet —drivers and yard staff exist in the province and in the corridor towns— and the one that really constrains is another: authorization to transport hazardous substances, which is granted not by the registry but by the national regime, and which the operator then audits on its own.

Where the number comes from

~USD 18 M/yr at the midpoint; the defensible range is USD 11-27 M/yr. And it is a floor: diesel to site belongs to this trade and stays out because nobody publishes its consumption

See the calculation, the variables and how it was validated

The number is built from three variables that can be monitored, and a fourth we declare outside. Change one and the total recalculates.

some 76 to 109 thousand tonnes of product leaving each year + some 35 thousand tonnes a year of construction inputs, times the puna tariff and the trunk tariff, plus clearance and traceability=~USD 18 M/yr at the midpoint; the defensible range is USD 11-27 M/yr
Tonnes of product leaving~76 thousand today · ~109 thousand at committed capacityannual review
Carbonate from Fénix, Sal de Vida and Tres Quebradas, plus Hombre Muerto Oeste's chloride concentrate converted to physical tonnes: 4 thousand of lithium equivalent are some 12,500 of truck.
Puna leg tariffUSD 30 to 65 per tonne (midpoint ~40)live data
It is the same last-mile tariff we already publish in the reagents entry, applied in reverse: same roads, same trucks, same gravel.
Paved trunk tariff0.07 to 0.12 dollars per tonne-kilometerlive data
OWN ASSUMPTION. The asphalt-to-gravel step that justifies the gap between the two tariffs is measured once in public, and it is from Salta, from 2023 and from an interested party: used as a range, never as a coefficient.
Live builds bringing inputstwo, through 2029annual review
Hombre Muerto Oeste and the 2nd stage of Tres Quebradas. Fénix's Phase 1B already produced and Sal de Vida is in commissioning: their construction freight no longer counts.

The number rests on a few variables. The formula shows how it moves when each one changes; and each variable carries its freshness seal — how often it is worth revisiting. estim

How solid the number is estim

This number is counted in tonnes, not as a percentage of capex, and its boundary is declared on both sides. The reagents entry already counts what comes in to the puna, and it publishes the bridge: some 180 thousand tonnes a year equal ~18 inbound trucks per day, against the ~40 trucks per day Fénix moves of inputs *and* product. This niche counts the other ~22. For outbound tonnage we use the capacities of the four operations, with a conversion shown in the open: Hombre Muerto Oeste does not produce carbonate but chloride concentrate at 6% lithium, so its 4 thousand tonnes of lithium equivalent are some 12,500 physical tonnes of truck. For the puna leg tariff we use the same one we already publish in reagents, applied in reverse: same roads, same trucks. For the trunk we use an own assumption, and we say so. And there is a part we deliberately leave out: diesel to site exists, belongs to this trade and no operation publishes its consumption — the number is a floor on that side.

Coverage: ARCA's official list of authorized bonded warehouses —175 across the country, counted one by one— and CAPPROMIN's trade map, the provincial chamber of mining suppliers (4 members in transport and 1 in foreign trade out of 123 memberships, with a 2023 cut-off) · Sep 14, 2026 · not reviewed: the Re.P.E.M., which is the mandatory provincial register, does not publish the list of names; the CNRT's freight carrier register is queried one company at a time by tax ID and cannot be listed out; and no source publishes who provides today the escort that the January 2026 protocol requires

How to cite this figure: Despegue (2026). High-altitude logistics, hazardous goods and outbound freight across Catamarca's three corridors · Catamarca. despegueargentina.com/en/catamarca/logistica-altura-carga-peligrosa · terms of use

Neighbouring markets2 markets in the same group, from USD 2,5 to USD 101 M a year

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We look at what your company does and tell you whether we see a sign that it fits this market, with the evidence behind it. If we do not see one, we say so too and name the condition that would change it. One page as a dated PDF, within 48 working hours.

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Page 1 of the example executive summaryOpen the report ↗A real analysis · a real company, open in full →
Ignacio Aredez
Analysis and curation: Ignacio Aredez
Head of Despegue
Method and track record →
  • 20+ years in technology, 15 of them in data and AI, for clients across Europe and the Americas
  • Certified in AI governance (ISO/IEC 42001)
  • Machine Learning (Google Cloud)
  • Registered expert with the European Commission
How to read the seals →
  verif primary source · prob primary source pending · unconf a source said it · estim our own calculation · thesis our reading · the date belongs to the datum, at the precision its source allows
This is not financial advice. The TAM is an estimate with a transparent method, not an official figure; the framing is labeled as thesis. Every figure carries its source. ← All opportunities in Catamarca